Best Premier League Odds - England 2020/21 Betting Odds

best premier league bets this weekend

best premier league bets this weekend - win

What are the best premier league betting tips for this weekend?

The English Premier League is one of the huge competitions which in itself are a focus for plentiful bets. This means that the tips are pervasive and consequently lots need to be done ahead of placing a bet on the matches to get the extremely best of the bets. The best tips are not that hard to find especially now that there are very good betting sites which come complete with tips from some of the top bookmakers.
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Some of the top and reputable bookmakers from whom you can get the best tips for the Premier League to include best predictions from different types of betting tips as like 1x2, Asian handicap and among many others. It is very important to ensure that the site you are settling for has the best as a simple way of ensuring that you get your only hands on the best tips for the matches that you are interested in placing bets on premier league betting tips this weekend.
The Premier League release huge probability of gambling for soccer 13 predictions for tomorrow and you will discover that you have the possibility to decide at which point throughout the matches you would be fond of to lay your bets. For instance, you can choose to bet for the runner-up, winner without the top clubs and the outright winner depending on which you are most interested in. However, for each of the match and the rounds, it is necessary that you will have to make sure that you go through the tips.
As far as the Premier League tips are concerned, you will have to remember that the tips can change within hours or days hence you will need to frequently check on them for the sake of your wager on soccer 24 predictions for today. The prices change from one bookmaker to another and the only time you will manage to get the best is by ensuring you are aware of any changes that take place. The bookmakers will keep updating the betting tips and tips and your homework will be to ensure you get the latest.
You will also find some other great betting offers for the Premier League among them free betting offers. It is always a good idea to take advantage of such offers since they can be easy ways of making money especially when you have a well researched and thought out bet. It is possible to find everything that you need for your Premier League betting from a good site to ensure that you choose carefully to get the very best from your wager.
Website:
http://www.verifiedsoccertips.com/
submitted by verifiedsoccertips to u/verifiedsoccertips [link] [comments]

Pre-Match thread, Fulham vs Liverpool, 13/12/2020: KO 16:30

Pre-Match thread, Fulham vs Liverpool
Premier League
Venue: Craven Cottage
Referee: Andre Marriner. Assistants: Scott Ledger, Simon Long. Fourth official: Keith Stroud. VAR: Lee Mason. Assistant VAR: James Mainwaring.
Where to watch
Team news:
Form guide +/-
Liverpool: 26/17 WWDWD
Fulham: 11/21 WLLWL
Possible line-up from The Gaffer
Alisson Becker
TAA - Fabinho - Matip - Robbo
Curtis Jones - Gini - Henderson
Salah - Bobby - Mane
Match build up
submitted by PM-Me-Salah-Pics to LiverpoolFC [link] [comments]

[Analysis] A PvP Analysis on Galarian Mr. Mime/Mr. Rime and the Vanillite Family

Hello again, folks. I am in the middle of a hopefully helpful article for the return of Master League to GBL after Christmas, but first, a quick aside to cover the controversial mini event happening this weekend with the debut of Galarian Mr. Mime and, by extension, Mr. Rime into the world of Pokémon GO. These two are not controversial themselves so much as the method of their introduction is, because they are (for now, at least) locked behind a US $8 ticket. I have already shared my thoughts on that on Twitter, but to sum up... well, it's not what I would do if I were in charge of such things. For many of us, we'll pay Niantic that money when Hades freezes over (as hinted at in my cheeky header image title. 😏) But as I also shared on Twitter, I'm just here to analyze and get you, my fellow players, the knowledge to make informed decisions on your investments, typically in terms of stardust and candy, but in this case, your hard earned real life cash as well.
So, I am going to briefly review these new additions as PvP weapons, the good points and the bad, as well as the new Vanillite family, as that's also coming up soon (but at least doesn't require a ticket for entry). Let's do this!

MR. MIME (GALARIAN)

Ice/Psychic Type
GREAT LEAGUE:
Attack: 131 (129 High Stat Product)
Defense: 124 (129 High Stat Product)
HP: 105 (105 High Stat Product)
(Highest Stat Product IVs: 1-15-13, 1500 CP, Level 27.5)
With a top CP of 2068 (2338 at Level 50), like its Kanto cousin, Galarian Mime isn't going anywhere beyond Great League. Especially because of that, its low HP is particularly worrisome, as in Great League more than any other league, bulk is typically valued over sheer power (unless you're a true and effective glass cannon like Haunter).
But there's a bigger problem here, and it's in the typing. Of course, we've had an Ice/Psychic type since the very first day of the game, with Jynx. And as I imagine you also already know, Jynx has had NO impact on PvP, in open or any limited format to date. Jynx has even less bulk than G-Mime (10 more Attack and about 20 less Defense), so it's an even more extreme example, but it does have good moves (similar to G-Mime and Rime), so the fact that it has completely failed to do anything in PvP is not a good sign. The stats are part of it, but again, the typing does it no favors. Ice removes Psychic's resistance to Fighting moves and the two typings do nothing to help each other, so Ice/Psychic types are left with all the vulnerabilities of each (Bug, Dark, Ghost on the Psychic side, and Fire, Rock, and Steel on the Ice side) and only two resistances, to... well, Ice and Psychic. Blech.
So not off to an encouraging start, but let's push on see if maybe, just maybe, it can make something of itself anyway.
(DPT = Damage Per Turn, EPT = Energy gained Per Turn, CD = Cooldown turns; 1 Turn = 0.5 Seconds)
Fast Moves:
Well, no Ice fast moves is another strike. Zen Headbutt is absolutely terrible, so looks like it's Confusion or bust.
Gimme some good news, charge moves!
Charge Moves:
Okay, well this is at least workable. Ice Punch is a decent enough Ice move, and spammy enough that Mr. Mime can count on getting to it in multiples. And Psychic (the move) isn't amazing, but it has a good cost-to-damage ratio and may even net an occasional debuff on the opponent. Psybeam is awful, but thankfully we don't need it... Ice Punch/Psychic will do just fine.
So let's put it all together and see what we got. For reference, here is what Jynx can do with a similar Confusion/Ice Punch/Avalanche set. Yeah, you probably expected bad, but not THAT bad, with meta wins over only Venusaur, Toxicroak, Machamp, Haunter, Whiscash, and Stunfisk, and a tie against Shadow Vic. I mean, yes, those are some nice names, but that's only a small handful of them. Basically any Confusioner can replicate most of that, including the also-PvP-irrelevant Exeggutor, who gets even more wins on top of that.
There's our barometer, so how does G-Mime do? Well... better, but still not great. It does get five of the six wins Jynx does (Whiscash is the one that escapes), pulls S-Vic from a tie into the win column, and gets some big names on top of that, including Azumarill, Altaria, Lapras, Tropius, and Chesnaught. There's no denying it is a CLEAR improvement on Jynx and may even merit some very niche use. But overall, it's still not even 1/4 of the overall Great League core meta, and not something that I think is worth getting overly excited about.
Maybe its evolution will do better?

MR. RIME

Ice/Psychic Type
GREAT LEAGUE:
Attack: 130 (127 High Stat Product)
Defense: 114 (115 High Stat Product)
HP: 116 (121 High Stat Product)
(Highest Stat Product IVs: 0-14-13, 1497 CP, Level 20)
ULTRA LEAGUE:
Attack: 167 (163 High Stat Product)
Defense: 142 (149 High Stat Product)
HP: 157 (157 High Stat Product)
(Highest Stat Product IVs: 0-14-14, 2496 CP, Level 36.5)
So same notes on typing: resists only Ice and Psychic, weak to a ton, and lower bulk than you'd like (but overall vetter than G-Mime, for what that's worth). Only other real note is that is maxes at 2827 CP (3196 at Level 50), so Ultra League is where you should stop trying to make it work (if it works even there... we'll see!).
(DPT = Damage Per Turn, EPT = Energy gained Per Turn, CD = Cooldown turns; 1 Turn = 0.5 Seconds)
Fast Moves:
Hey, we get a little more choice here. Now we can still go with Confusion or more Ice-heavy with the above-average Ice Shard. Whether or not that matters remains to be seen shortly, but at least we have legit options.
Charge Moves:
Oooooooo, Icy Wind too? We may have something cooking here! Let's see what the sims tell us.
In Great League, let's start by going with the same moveset as G-Mime for a direct comparison, so that means Confusion/Ice Punch/Psychic. Already we see improvement, with Rime duplicating G-Mime's body of work and adding on Dewgong, Mantine, and Medicham. So if you were wondering if it was worth evolving your G-Mime for PvP, the answer seems to be a resounding YES... Rime is just better in the direct comparision. But of course, there's a decent chance that, given the choice, you're going to want Icy Wind rather than Ice Punch, so going with Confusion/Icy Wind/Psychic brings in new wins against Cresselia, Abomasnow, and Swampert and Whiscash... but at the cost of giving up wins Ice Punch gets versus Razor Leaf Tropius, Medicham, and most unfortunately, Altaria. Still, it's a net positive overall. (And no, double Ice is not the ticket either.)
So yes, Rime > G-Mime > Jynx. But none are great. That typing is just a mess that leaves them vulnerable to too much in Great League, with too little bulk to overcome it.
But unlike Mime, Mr. Rime can play in Ultra League as well. Could that be a better niche? It would that perhaps Ultra does indeed fit Rime better. With Shard/Wind/Psychic, it has a nice niche as an Ice type that does standard Ice things (beating Dragonite, Altered Giratina, Articuno, Drifblim, Togekiss, and the other Charmers, as well as Grasses too. And it can also do things other Ices may not be able to replicate, such as beating Poliwrath (thanks, Psychic move!), Cresselia and Mewtwo (thanks, Psychic typing!), and even Lapras and Gallade (without having ANY super effective moves), and comes a breath away from beating Swampert too. (That one is well within the margin of IVs.) It's okay with Confusion instead, but becomes less versatile and more a hard counter to things like Machamp, Toxicroak, and Haunter, which it beats with Confusion, but on the flipside Confusion also abandons wins you get with Ice Shard like Cresselia, Giratina, Dragonite, Mewtwo, Drifblim, Ferrothorn, and Granbull. Maybe you just want that hard countering Confusion instead, but it seems to me that Ice Shard is the better bet.
At least, that's the case in open UL. In Premier Cup, however, it MAY be better to roll with Confusion, as you're more likely to run across the Machamps and Gengars and Toxicroaks and Blazikens that it beats and Ice Shard does not, and obviously won't be encountering the Cresselia or Mewtwo or Giratina you'll find in open. Ice Shard is still fine, and does boast those wins over Dragonite and Drifblim, as well as Shadow Gallade. But here in Premier, it would appear Confusion may have more impact.
So my recommendation, if you DO get yourself a Mr. Rime this weekend? Take it up to Ultra League level and don't look back. You know we'll ALL get a shot at more Galarian Mr. Mime in the future for potential Great League play, but if you intend to try and spring it in PvP in the near term, go for Ultra. (And yes, Research Level IVs do seem to still work fine, so don't sweat those details too much.)
Two more little icy guys to look at which are coming soon too with the release of the Vanillite line in less than a week (basically right on the heels of this weekend's event):
Alright, we made it! So here's the quick TL;DR that many people crave:
And that's it! I know none of these look groundbreaking in PvP, but that's why I do this: so that you know without having to kill yourself simming and studying yourself. Not every new release can be a winner! Hopefully this helps those of you who plan to shell out this weekend, and also helps those of you who will NOT be A.) better prepared to face them in PvP in the coming days, and B.) feel a little better about your decision to hold off and wait. Win-win in THAT regard, at least!
As I said, I am working on an analysis article of Master League in time for its return...and I'll let the cat out of the bag: I'm looking specifically into Level 41+ options and which ones may be doable before then, and ones that stand to benefit in the lower 40s rather than having to crank all the way up to 45+. Anyway, that will likely be my next big article. I'm well into it now... look for it on the early side of next week, if not even sooner! ✍️
Until then, you can always find me on Twitter with near-daily PvP analysis nuggets (or Patreon if you're into that). And as always, please feel free to comment here with your own thoughts or questions and I'll try to get back to you!
Stay safe out there, Pokéfriends. Thanks again for reading, and catch you next time!
submitted by JRE47 to TheSilphRoad [link] [comments]

A PvP Analysis on Galarian Mr. Mime/Mr. Rime and the Vanillite Family

Hello again, folks. I am in the middle of a hopefully helpful article for the return of Master League to GBL after Christmas, but first, a quick aside to cover the controversial mini event happening this weekend with the debut of Galarian Mr. Mime and, by extension, Mr. Rime into the world of Pokémon GO. These two are not controversial themselves so much as the method of their introduction is, because they are (for now, at least) locked behind a US $8 ticket. I have already shared my thoughts on that on Twitter, but to sum up... well, it's not what I would do if were in charge of such things. For many of us, we'll pay Niantic that money when Hades freezes over (as hinted at in my cheeky header image title. 😏) But as I also shared on Twitter, I'm just here to analyze and get you, my fellow players, the knowledge to make informed decisions on your investments, typically in terms of stardust and candy, but in this case, your hard earned real life cash as well.
So, I am going to briefly review these new additions as PvP weapons, the good points and the bad, as well as the new Vanillite family, as that's also coming up soon (but at least doesn't require a ticket for entry). Let's do this!

MR. MIME (GALARIAN)

Ice/Psychic Type
GREAT LEAGUE:
Attack: 131 (129 High Stat Product)
Defense: 124 (129 High Stat Product)
HP: 105 (105 High Stat Product)
(Highest Stat Product IVs: 1-15-13, 1500 CP, Level 27.5)
With a top CP of 2068 (2338 at Level 50), like its Kanto cousin, Galarian Mime isn't going anywhere beyond Great League. Especially because of that, its low HP is particularly worrisome, as in Great League more than any other league, bulk is typically valued over sheer power (unless you're a true and effective glass cannon like Haunter).
But there's a bigger problem here, and it's in the typing. Of course, we've had an Ice/Psychic type since the very first day of the game, with Jynx. And as I imagine you also already know, Jynx has had NO impact on PvP, in open or any limited format to date. Jynx has even less bulk than G-Mime (10 more Attack and about 20 less Defense), so it's an even more extreme example, but it does have good moves (similar to G-Mime and Rime), so the fact that it has completely failed to do anything in PvP is not a good sign. The stats are part of it, but again, the typing does it no favors. Ice removes Psychic's resistance to Fighting moves and the two typings do nothing to help each other, so Ice/Psychic types are left with all the vulnerabilities of each (Bug, Dark, Ghost on the Psychic side, and Fire, Rock, and Steel on the Ice side) and only two resistances, to... well, Ice and Psychic. Blech.
So not off to an encouraging start, but let's push on see if maybe, just maybe, it can make something of itself anyway.
(DPT = Damage Per Turn, EPT = Energy gained Per Turn, CD = Cooldown turns; 1 Turn = 0.5 Seconds)
Fast Moves:
Well, no Ice fast moves is another strike. Zen Headbutt is absolutely terrible, so looks like it's Confusion or bust.
Gimme some good news, charge moves!
Charge Moves:
Okay, well this is at least workable. Ice Punch is a decent enough Ice move, and spammy enough that Mr. Mime can count on getting to it in multiples. And Psychic (the move) isn't amazing, but it has a good cost-to-damage ratio and may even net an occasional debuff on the opponent. Psybeam is awful, but thankfully we don't need it... Ice Punch/Psychic will do just fine.
So let's put it all together and see what we got. For reference, here is what Jynx can do with a similar Confusion/Ice Punch/Avalanche set. Yeah, you probably expected bad, but not THAT bad, with meta wins over only Venusaur, Toxicroak, Machamp, Haunter, Whiscash, and Stunfisk, and a tie against Shadow Vic. I mean, yes, those are some nice names, but that's only a small handful of them. Basically any Confusioner can replicate most of that, including the also-PvP-irrelevant Exeggutor, who gets even more wins on top of that.
There's our barometer, so how does G-Mime do? Well... better, but still not great. It does get five of the six wins Jynx does (Whiscash is the one that escapes), pulls S-Vic from a tie into the win column, and gets some big names on top of that, including Azumarill, Altaria, Lapras, Tropius, and Chesnaught. There's no denying it is a CLEAR improvement on Jynx and may even merit some very niche use. But overall, it's still not even 1/4 of the overall Great League core meta, and not something that I think is worth getting overly excited about.
Maybe its evolution will do better?

MR. RIME

Ice/Psychic Type
GREAT LEAGUE:
Attack: 130 (127 High Stat Product)
Defense: 114 (115 High Stat Product)
HP: 116 (121 High Stat Product)
(Highest Stat Product IVs: 0-14-13, 1497 CP, Level 20)
ULTRA LEAGUE:
Attack: 167 (163 High Stat Product)
Defense: 142 (149 High Stat Product)
HP: 157 (157 High Stat Product)
(Highest Stat Product IVs: 0-14-14, 2496 CP, Level 36.5)
So same notes on typing: resists only Ice and Psychic, weak to a ton, and lower bulk than you'd like (but overall vetter than G-Mime, for what that's worth). Only other real note is that is maxes at 2827 CP (3196 at Level 50), so Ultra League is where you should stop trying to make it work (if it works even there... we'll see!).
(DPT = Damage Per Turn, EPT = Energy gained Per Turn, CD = Cooldown turns; 1 Turn = 0.5 Seconds)
Fast Moves:
Hey, we get a little more choice here. Now we can still go with Confusion or more Ice-heavy with the above-average Ice Shard. Whether or not that matters remains to be seen shortly, but at least we have legit options.
Charge Moves:
Oooooooo, Icy Wind too? We may have something cooking here! Let's see what the sims tell us.
In Great League, let's start by going with the same moveset as G-Mime for a direct comparison, so that means Confusion/Ice Punch/Psychic. Already we see improvement, with Rime duplicating G-Mime's body of work and adding on Dewgong, Mantine, and Medicham. So if you were wondering if it was worth evolving your G-Mime for PvP, the answer seems to be a resounding YES... Rime is just better in the direct comparision. But of course, there's a decent chance that, given the choice, you're going to want Icy Wind rather than Ice Punch, so going with Confusion/Icy Wind/Psychic brings in new wins against Cresselia, Abomasnow, and Swampert and Whiscash... but at the cost of giving up wins Ice Punch gets versus Razor Leaf Tropius, Medicham, and most unfortunately, Altaria. Still, it's a net positive overall. (And no, double Ice is not the ticket either.)
So yes, Rime > G-Mime > Jynx. But none are great. That typing is just a mess that leaves them vulnerable to too much in Great League, with too little bulk to overcome it.
But unlike Mime, Mr. Rime can play in Ultra League as well. Could that be a better niche? It would that perhaps Ultra does indeed fit Rime better. With Shard/Wind/Psychic, it has a nice niche as an Ice type that does standard Ice things (beating Dragonite, Altered Giratina, Articuno, Drifblim, Togekiss, and the other Charmers, as well as Grasses too. And it can also do things other Ices may not be able to replicate, such as beating Poliwrath (thanks, Psychic move!), Cresselia and Mewtwo (thanks, Psychic typing!), and even Lapras and Gallade (without having ANY super effective moves), and comes a breath away from beating Swampert too. (That one is well within the margin of IVs.) It's okay with Confusion instead, but becomes less versatile and more a hard counter to things like Machamp, Toxicroak, and Haunter, which it beats with Confusion, but on the flipside Confusion also abandons wins you get with Ice Shard like Cresselia, Giratina, Dragonite, Mewtwo, Drifblim, Ferrothorn, and Granbull. Maybe you just want that hard countering Confusion instead, but it seems to me that Ice Shard is the better bet.
At least, that's the case in open UL. In Premier Cup, however, it MAY be better to roll with Confusion, as you're more likely to run across the Machamps and Gengars and Toxicroaks and Blazikens that it beats and Ice Shard does not, and obviously won't be encountering the Cresselia or Mewtwo or Giratina you'll find in open. Ice Shard is still fine, and does boast those wins over Dragonite and Drifblim, as well as Shadow Gallade. But here in Premier, it would appear Confusion may have more impact.
So my recommendation, if you DO get yourself a Mr. Rime this weekend? Take it up to Ultra League level and don't look back. You know we'll ALL get a shot at more Galarian Mr. Mime in the future for potential Great League play, but if you intend to try and spring it in PvP in the near term, go for Ultra. (And yes, Research Level IVs do seem to still work fine, so don't sweat those details too much.)
Two more little icy guys to look at which are coming soon too with the release of the Vanillite line in less than a week (basically right on the heels of this weekend's event):
Alright, we made it! So here's the quick TL;DR that many people crave:
And that's it! I know none of these look groundbreaking in PvP, but that's why I do this: so that you know without having to kill yourself simming and studying yourself. Not every new release can be a winner! Hopefully this helps those of you who plan to shell out this weekend, and also helps those of you who will NOT be A.) better prepared to face them in PvP in the coming days, and B.) feel a little better about your decision to hold off and wait. Win-win in THAT regard, at least!
As I said, I am working on an analysis article of Master League in time for its return...and I'll let the cat out of the bag: I'm looking specifically into Level 41+ options and which ones may be doable before then, and ones that stand to benefit in the lower 40s rather than having to crank all the way up to 45+. Anyway, that will likely be my next big article. I'm well into it now... look for it on the early side of next week, if not even sooner! ✍️
Until then, you can always find me on Twitter with near-daily PvP analysis nuggets (or Patreon if you're into that). And as always, please feel free to comment here with your own thoughts or questions and I'll try to get back to you!
Stay safe out there, Pokéfriends. Thanks again for reading, and catch you next time!
submitted by JRE47 to TheSilphArena [link] [comments]

Analyzing Tottenham Players' Shot Maps

This is somewhat of a Part 2 in what’s turning out to be a series of posts analyzing various aspects of Tottenham’s players and their attacking data. See my first post discussing xG and xA of players over the past 5 seasons here. In this post, I’ll be looking at a few players’ shot statistics, focusing mainly on shot location and other variables like which foot they use and their respective xG.
Tl;dr: Son is truly two-footed, and that is probably what makes him such a deadly finisher. Dele creates/has much better chances on his left foot than right foot but takes few shots with his left. Kane loves March 5th, but August seriously hates him.
THE DATA
I used a python script to gather a host of shot data from understat.com, a website that compiles a ton of information on leagues, teams, and players throughout the seasons. To save space, please refer to my original post about how I gathered data. I use the same method here. The data includes variables for every shot a player has taken in the leagues that Understat covers (Premier League, LaLiga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Russian Premier League). I gathered shots for Harry Kane, Son Heung-Min, Erik Lamela, Lucas Moura, Steven Bergwijn, Dele Alli, Giovanni Lo Celso, Eric Dier, and Toby Alderweireld. I gathered the main shot-takers as well as Dier and Alderweireld, 2 of our defenders who join the attack and come up for corners. I only pulled the shots for players both here last season at minimum and still here this season, so players like Eriksen and Fernando Llorente’s Hip have been excluded.
The dataset only includes Premier League matches, so no Champions league (… or EuropaL…) shots are included. Finally, after pulling the data, I added in what team the player was on for each shot, as the raw data only includes home and away teams, without specifying exactly what team the shot is foagainst. While Kane’s only club covered in the sample is Tottenham, players like Lo Celso, Son, and Lucas have played for several teams. I then filtered out other teams to only include shots taken while playing for Spurs. This is partially because I’m a huge Spurs supporter and am curious about our shot statistics, and also because it’s good practice in statistics to control for any possible outside variables, like teammates on different teams that only a single player in the sample was receiving passes from.
Once I cleaned up the data, I imported it into Tableau for easy visualization and storytelling. I used JMP to perform some t-tests for analysis later on, which is basically checking to see if 2 means are statistically different from each other or if there’s not really a true difference between them.
The key variables in this analysis are the X and Y coordinates of the shots. Understat has assigned an X and Y number to every shot, which is where the player took the shot from on the pitch. Visualizing a football pitch, with the team attacking from left to right, with the attacking team’s goal line at x = 0, and the opposing team’s goal line at x = 1. The right-side touchline of the pitch is at y = 0, and the left-side touchline is at y = 1. So, the center spot is located at (0.5, 0.5), and the center of the goal you’re shooting on is at (1, 0.5). I hope that makes sense.
One limitation of the data is that the coordinates are on a square, but pitches are rectangles. This isn’t a major issue, but it means that a 0.1 change in X is not the same distance, in meters, as a 0.1 change in Y. Also important to note is the fact that almost all Premier League pitches have different dimensions, even if by just a few yards. To best reconcile this, I averaged out the distance from goal-line to goal-line (X axis) and from touchline to touchline (Y axis) of the 2019-20 grounds. I next calculated at what coordinates to add the 18-yard box and 6-yard box lines to. Since all grounds have the same dimensions for these boxes, that isn’t a major problem. In the visualizations, the 18-yard box is solid gray, and the 6-yard box is dashed gray. I limit the views to the attacking half of the pitch for easy comparison. Only a couple of Kane’s and one of Lucas’ shots are from their own half (all misses).
I validated shot locations by watching a number of Son, Kane, and Dele goals on footballia.net. I watched 5 each of their goals, noted the locations they shot from, and then located them in my sample. They were very accurate, so I have confidence enough in the (x,y) coordinates coding.
ANALYSIS
Please follow this link here to play around with this data yourself on Tableau Public. I can’t figure out how to embed a Tableau Viz into a Reddit post.
The image below shows the full sample—all Spurs shots for all players I downloaded. Naturally, this view doesn’t show much at all. We can see that there are many goals right in front of the net, and they all have high xG. And we can see that the further away from the goal you get, the fewer shots there are. One thing I like about this Viz is how few shots Spurs take on the right or left side of the 18-yard box. But one of these shots is also my favorite-ever goal, which I’ll get to later on.

All shots in the sample. Color is the result (goal, saved, etc.) and size of the circle is xG. I really want to know what the “bald patch” around (0.85, 0.6) is…
From here, we can filter down by various variables, such as player. First, let’s look at a few players’ shot maps. Again, head over to my Tableau post to see all of these graphics and ones I didn’t screenshot—they’re interactive too.

Kane's shot map

Son's shot map

Dele's shot map

Lamela's shot map

Dier's shot map

Alderweireld' shot map
I don’t know about you, but I love looking at these maps. I’ve added a lot of information to each data point on Tableau, such as date; the team it was against; whether it was from a free kick, open play, corner, etc.; and the player who delivered the last pass before the shot. You can also highlight only the Result of the shot.
Of course, just looking at a shot map blindly gives little insight. We need to dig a little deeper into the data. First, I looked at average shot location, starting with the y-axis. This will show us which side of the pitch a player tends to take shots from. Kane’s average shot location on the Y-axis (left/right side of the pitch) is 0.5052—almost perfectly in the middle, so he doesn’t favor one side or the other. And his median location is exactly 0.5000, which is legitimately creepy. Since Kane’s the only striker in the group, naturally Son, Dele, and Bergwijn shoot more from the left, while Lo Celso, Lamela, and Lucas shoot more from the right. Dier and Alderweireld shoot more from the right, which makes sense since Dier has was used a bit as a right-sided midfielder and occasionally as a right back when he joined, and Toby almost exclusively plays as the right-sided CB. Toby has an average shot closer to the right touchline than Dier, which could show how Dier has played a fair bit at left-sided CB and as a central holding midfielder.

Average Y-axis location for each player’s shots. Kane does not favor a side to strike from.
Next, I dug into each player’s shot data based on the foot they shot with. I looked at the average xG of every shot taken, the goal conversion rate (goals/total shots), and the total number of shots taken with each foot. This data, shown in the table below—coupled with shot locations—is the meat of my analysis.

Average xG for each shot by foot, goal%, and total shots taken for selected players.
This table is where I first saw something major in the data:
Dele needs to use his left foot much more often. His average xG for all left-foot shots is 0.2644, much greater than 0.1208 average with his right. In fact, this is statistically significant at the 95% level (t-test p-value of 0.0006), which means that there’s less than a 5% chance that this big of a difference is random. Basically, it’s almost a given that Dele will have a higher xG with left-foot shots than right (on average).
Further, Dele has a 14.71% conversion rate with his left, and 16.46% with his right. This is an insignificant difference (p-value of 0.7915) from 34 left-footed shots and 237 right, so we can conclude that Dele should take more shots with his left foot. It is probable that defenders know he favors his right, so his high left-foot xG could be due to him putting defenders off by shifting onto his left, giving himself a much better look at goal (I should note that Lamela, who is notorious for only using his left foot, does not exhibit this with right-foot shots. Dele’s left-foot xG are in fact crazy). Last, it is important to note that no other player in the sample had a statistically significant difference between left- and right-foot average xG—the quality of their chances is the same on their right- or left foot. This is something unique to Dele in this sample.
Next, let’s look at Son. Son is known for having no weak foot—and his shot data backs that up. Son’s average xG on left-foot shots is 0.1148, and it’s 0.1137 for right-foot. An insignificant difference of only 0.011! He also converts 16.37% of left-foot and 17.62% of right-foot shots, again insignificant. He uses whichever foot would be the best for the situation, and his shot map backs that up. Outside the box, he prefers his left foot on the right side of the pitch, and his right foot on the left side. This is good practice (unless you’re trivela-master Quaresma or Le Cut Inside Man), so you can bend it into the net out of the keeper’s reach. Inside the box, Son tends to use his right foot on the right side, and left foot on the left side. Again, this is good practice because you can typically get a much better shot off when you’re running at the goal by using the foot of the side of net you’re on (right foot for right side of goal, and vice versa).
Since we discussed Dele’s right vs left xG and how Son chooses the best foot for the situation he’s in, let’s dive further into Dele, Son, Kane, and Lamela’s use of their feet. These are—or in Dele’s current form, were—some of Spurs’ main attackers of the past 5 seasons or so (who are still here). We know Son uses the best foot for the situation. We can further see that that is in fact the case when we add a trend line to his right- and left-foot shot maps. On his right-foot shot map, we see a “negative” trend (slope = -0.69 nice), which is what we want to see, given that outside the box you typically want to use your right foot on the left side of the pitch, and closer inside the box you want to use your right foot on the right side of the pitch. Lamela has a very similar trend (slope = -0.91). Kane has a less pronounced trend than Son and Lamela, but still a distinct shape (slope = -0.38). Dele’s line, however, is relatively flat (slope = -0.12). So, while he exhibits this trend, you can see how he’s using his right foot in many scenarios where he might be better served using his left.

Shot map and trend line for Right Foot shots
Looking now at left-foot shot maps, we want to see a “positive” trend line, a mirror of the right-foot map. Son, as we would expect from the ambipedal maestro, exhibits this perfectly (slope = 1.18). Kane’s is again a solid trend (slope = 0.55), yet not as pronounced as Son’s; same with Lamela (slope = 0.29). Now look at Dele’s… It is actually the exact opposite from what we might “want” to see. The slope here (slope = -0.35) is strangely greater than his right-foot trend line. I want to walk you through my thought process regarding this data:

Shot map and trend line for Left Foot shots
First, it appeared that Dele should take many of these shots with his right foot, and I figured maybe this is the reason he’s been under-performing of late. However, he is a fundamentally different player than Kane and Son, so his shots from close to the net on the right aren’t usually coming from him running at the keepedefenders, but from being cute and technical from a stopped position in a somewhat-crowded box. From watching him the last few years, he tends to try a few movements in the box to shift his body or open his hips for a pass or shot. Finally, I realized that maybe this explains his abnormal xG with left-foot vs right-foot shots…
No matter the scenario, being relatively close to the goal on the right side of the pitch would lead a defender to expect you to either recycle possession or use your right foot to shoot/cross across the face of goal. If Dele shifts it onto his left foot to have a shot (which the defender may not expect since Dele favors his right foot), this could lead to a higher xG shot than a right-foot shot, where the defender could close the angle easily. I’ve noticed that Dele likes to open his hips for a quick pass/shot fairly often, so this would be a perfect opportunity to do so—even if he’s running at the keeper he likes to open up his hips and try to slot it far post.
I welcome any comments/discussion on this aspect of Dele’s analysis. I found it very interesting that his left-foot shot map goes against what we “should” see. For further validation, we can compare Lamela’s trend lines (since he and Dele play somewhat similar roles and are both very one-footed). As we saw above, Lamela’s trends follow Son and Kane, so Dele truly is an anomaly with his left foot. Dele if you’re reading this… take more shots with your left foot!!! Somehow your left foot shots are crazy better than your right. Get back to your best, you’ve got this!
Now let’s look at Kane in August. Until August 18, 2018, Kane hadn’t scored in the month. Before that day, he had taken 46 shots in August for a combined total of 4.52 xG. And looking at his shot map for these 46 shots, it’s not that he’s taking bad strikes. He has several very high xG shots that were saved or hit the post. Kane truly does not perform well in August. The following table shows all players’ goals, total xG, and number of shots taken in August before Kane scored. Excluding Lucas, who only had one shot, every other player in the sample had scored. In fact, they were all outperforming their xG. August is Kane’s Bane.

Kane’s shot map for the month of August. You can see all the non-goals. August hates him.

Table showing all goals, total xG, and shots taken in August before the game Kane scored in.
Let’s move on past attackers to defenders now. Alderweireld has taken 19 shots on the right side of the pitch behind the 18-yard box; more than anywhere else except the middle of the 18-Yard Box around the penalty spot (which is expected since he comes up for corners). This shows how he pushes up from right-sided CB and has a crack from distance fairly regularly. Not a new insight, but cool to see. Dier has a similar spread of shots on both the right and left side of the pitch, but most of his shots from the right side outside the box are from 2014 to 2016, when he typically played as a right back, right-sided CB, and right-sided mid.
Lo Celso, Lucas, and Bergwijn have nothing extremely interesting to call out in detail, but here are a few things I found interesting. First, even though Lucas plays mainly on the right or as main striker, his shot map is almost symmetric. This shows how much he buzzes around the pitch, even when coming in from the right. Second, I thought it was interesting that Lo Celso has only taken two shots with his right foot so far. Both were low xG, and the keeper saved both. Those Argentinians legit have a thing against right feet. Finally, I was surprised to see how few shots Bergwijn has taken in the Prem. I must have rose-tinted glasses on, because I could’ve sworn he had taken over 11 shots. However, he has scored 3/11, a remarkable 27% goal-shot percent. That number is even better when looking at shots on target: 3 goals from 8 shots on target. I bet we see that W celebration more.
And finally, all (pseudo-) research includes future research suggestions. I would love to add the entire squad and look at more temporal view of the team—analyzing shot maps across seasons. I also want to look at the last year of Poch’s reign and the first year of Mourinho’s. Since a lot of the key players are still on the team for that span, we can look at the differences between the two managers. However, we should probably look at a random 1-year span of each manager, since managers tend to get sacked for a reason. Last, we could dive further into individual players across time, to see how they develop, and maybe even compare in-form shot maps to out-of-form ones to see if they are unlucky given the xG of their shots or maybe if they’re taking worse shots from bad positions.
In conclusion, Spurs took shots, and I put them in Tableau to find fun stuff.
INTERESTING TIDBITS AND GOALS
I’ve added a few sheets at the end of the Tableau Viz that highlight some interesting/fun/banger goals.
Harry Kane has only ever played on March 5th twice, in 2016 and 2017. But he’s scored absolute BANGERS in both games. One beautiful goal against Arsenal from a crazy angle where he celebrated by sprinting faster than ever and ripping off his facemask (still brings me tears of joy… so much pashun), and one absolute show of strength against Everton, where he holds off defenders before belting the ball from deep past the keeper. The next time March 5th falls on a weekend is 2022 and again in 2023. I’ll be calling up the FA to make sure they schedule Spurs to play Saturday 3/5/2022 and Sunday 3/5/2023.
I also call out Kane’s infamous “claimed” goal vs Stoke. This had a high xG of 0.4587, so if it was an Eriksen goal, it would’ve had a much lower xG…… I’m sure Kane’s daughter is happy.
Vertonghen claimed the world’s second-best assist (behind Tommy Carroll’s assist to Bale) for Son’s Burnley goal. Son’s furthest goal also is fun to see at 0.0147 xG.
Dele’s insane flick-turn-volley against Palace gets a nice mention, as does Dier’s first-ever shot in a Spurs shirt: a stoppage time winner away at West Ham on his debut. Dude’s been oozing Big Dick Dier energy since day 1 at Spurs.

Sorry for how long this is, it kept getting longer and longer. Thanks to all who made it through!
Edited to correct broken links
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FPL & Well-Being: Follow-Up to the Survey

Hey everyone! So, if you remember, I posted a survey to judge the effects of FPL on our Well-Being for a Project in a Psychology Course a Week Ago. This is a follow-up post to that, as many had requested, mainly talking about the findings.
(You can find the previous post here: FPL & Well-Being Survey)

Before I begin, I would genuinely like to extend a note of gratitude to all of you; none of this would be possible without your support. Have to say this community is far and beyond everything else! Also, please bear with me, this might be a little long even though I’ve tried to summarize as much as possible. I shall try my best to make it worth your time! :’)


Next, this is another interesting perspective I was able to chalk up while doing this study. There are a lot of ways to summarize your season in FPL — OR, Green Arrows, Red Arrows, ML Ranks and much more. One way to look at it is this. Typically, your season is always a mixture of multiple red and green arrows, which together add up to 38 (one for every GW). Two people having similar ranks at the end of the season can have completely contrasting journeys, with their combination of red and green arrows vastly different. Similarly, whether or not you believe it, there is always “hope” for a green arrow. This is analogous to our lives — we all have different journeys, different destinations, different moments of triumph and disaster. And even if our destination is the same, our journey will always be different. All of us face hardships and go through tough times. Yet, it is hope that keeps us going. Hope that someday, things will be good. Hope that we will have a green arrow after numerous red arrows.
Better yet, there is an uncertainty that’s always involved, just like life; ‘as Mama always said, “Life is like a box of chocolates, you never know what you’re gonna get.” — Forrest Gump’. A season of FPL in its rawest form is a genuine manifestation of life, a roller-coaster ride. On the way, it teaches you an insane number of lessons, intertwined with a few moments of absolute bliss, to form a wholesome package of development.

Coming to the more obvious results from the survey, I have a few interesting conclusions to talk about.






The important observation here was the fact that this number dropped to a mere 12% (overall, in both cases) when asked about the hindrance bad results in FPL cause in real life, or affect growth negatively. This is really important. We all suffer from bad GWs. Have disappointments, heartbreaks, and failures. Make the wrong choices. But we come out of it. We always do. That is why we return to FPL every year with the same excitement as when we first started. Primarily, there are two reasons for this temporary feeling of disgust and jealousy. The human brain is hardwired to focus on negatives, and always thinks about “what could be”. Psychologists call it the negativity bias and the outcome bias respectively. You’re not alone in suffering from it, we all do. But the reason it is temporary is because our mind tricks us into it. We soon come out of it, and it plays no effect in our lives anymore. Those of you who feel it stays long-term, you may want to re-valuate your situation and choices. More often than not, we make the right choices, it’s just that luck wants to have it some other way. Believe it or not, luck is an integral part of FPL, and life, for that matter, and there’s no two ways about it. You cannot be too hard on yourself for something that wasn’t in your hands. This community is one of the best places to reach out to if you feel there’s too much, and the response here is almost always heart-warming. You won’t feel alone, we are all there for you.

From the discussion above, it is it is pretty clear FPL can have both positive and negative effects. However, the positives heavily outweigh the negatives, as stated before. This is mainly due to the fact that the positives have more of a long-lasting impact on your happiness, while the negatives are mainly temporary disappointments pioneered by human biases. Once you are considerate enough to understand the result, it should be smooth sailing.

So finally, we can conclusively say that FPL does play a role in our lives. It can be a weekend fixture, or an activity that leads to tremendous growth. On a very general note, chances are it affects you much more positively. You might want to think of it as a simulation of life — fuelled by ups and downs, moments of joy and laughter, heartbreak and disappointment; but most importantly, an entity that helps you grow as an individual, develop connections/relations, and teach you a thing or two about life. All that you need to do is play it the right way.
The sheer multitude of the impact FPL creates on one’s life can be surprising, but it’s very real. We build connections, gain positive energy, learn lessons about outcome bias, develop our thought process, boost our personality, and trigger the release of dopamine in the most delicate yet beautiful manner. A game that involves football analysis, logic, numerical skills, betting strategies, game theory, stock markets and behavioural psychology — it is truly one of a kind. While the 7.8 million player base is still galloping through, there is always a potential for newcomers. And we’ve seen that, the numbers keep rising exponentially every year. There is no secret to this, FPL is an experience no football fan would want to miss, and its simplicity is what makes it so mesmerizing. FPL has its own knack of throwing up things in an unprecedented manner; but chocolates, at the end of the day, are chocolates. You will learn from every single one of them and grow along the way. Keep your head high as Forrest, and you are sure to have a lot of fun in this exceptional journey!

P.S: If you are still with me, I’d genuinely like to thank you! I hope it was worth your time :’)
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Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur

Manchester City is unstoppable at the moment, and they proved it last weekend at Anfield. They trashed Liverpool 4:1 on the road and remained at the top of the table. The Citizens are five points ahead of Manchester United, having one game in hand. Pep Guardiola’s side is full of confidence and hasn’t lost since November when they went to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Ilkay Gundogan and the lads celebrated 15 times in a row, and they look forward to continuing that amazing run. Manchester City easily booked their place in the FA Cup quarter-finals after beating Swansea. Their defense is impeccable, as the hosts conceded only 14 goals in the current Premier League campaign. The home fans hope their team can keep up where it left off.
Tottenham Hotspur heads to this game after a thrilling 5:4 defeat against Everton in FA Cup. They needed to go into the extra time but got kicked out of the competition. Jose Mourinho’s side struggles lately, and everything started from a 3:1 defeat against Liverpool. The Spurs lost four times since then and booked only one victory. Additionally, Harry Kane suffered an injury that had a significant impact on Tottenham’s efficiency. The away side sits in 8th place, but it’s only four points behind Liverpool, with one game in hand. Despite their bad run, the Spurs are the second-best defensive team in the competition. However, lately, they have been insecure on the road, celebrating only once in the previous five outings. They need to put much better performance to get away undefeated from Etihad Stadium.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Manchester City is a strong favorite in this clash, despite losing in their previous duel earlier this season. Many things have changed since then, and the citizens should meet the expectations by booking another three points.

Goals Market Prediction

Although this is the clash between the two tightest defenses in Premier League, we expect to see an efficient game. Football fans should enjoy at least three goals in total.
Manchester City to win @ 1.40
Over 2.5 FT @ 1.70
Correct score 3:1 @ 11.00
Read the analysis here and share your opinion with us!
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NFL midseason awards


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We have made it through the first eight weeks of the 2020 season and it’s time to hand out some trophies (not literally of course, since we have to wait until the year is over). I already did this when I predicted the entire season about a week before we kicked things off and a lot of the candidates I mentioned back then, you will here again, but at the same time, some guys have kind of come out of nowhere. For some of these categories, three names were enough, while for a few others I mentioned two more notables. So who have been my MVP, Defensive Player and Coach of the Year, among others, for the first half of the season? Plus, at the bottom I added my All-Pro teams at this point.
Also make sure to check out my detailed recap of NFL week eight.

Most Valuable Player:


I think three candidates have kind of separated themselves from the rest of the pack in this MVP discussion and the guy I have at the top has been there all season long, because no other player has been more valuable to his team and their success.

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1. Russell Wilson
I have always said Wilson is one of the premiere quarterbacks in the NFL and that the only thing holding him back from quite putting up the same numbers other MVP candidates have produced is his own coaching staff and the conservative he plays in. Well, this year Brian Schottenheimer & company have finally listened to Seahawks fans screaming to “let Russ cook” and he has been smoking hot. Russ is top three in completion percentage (71.5%) and yards per attempt (8.4) and yards per game (307.3), leads NFL with a passer rating of 120.8 and 26 touchdown passes, which makes up for more than one TD every 10th attempt – also an NFL-best mark. And the crazy part is that his team has needed him to be that explosive, since Seattle’s defense has given up an average of 460.9 yards per game – easily the most of any team in the league. The Seahawks themselves are scoring an NFL-best 34.3 points per game and their season-low(!) 27 points came in a matchup, where he led one of his two game-winning drives on the season (versus Minnesota). He is also the only quarterback with multiple starts to not have lost a fumble all season long. The only blemish on Wilson’s resume and the Hawks lone loss came at Arizona in a Sunday Night game, where their quarterback threw three of his six interceptions on the year and that was his only performance that he had a passer rating below 100 in. However in that game, he lit up the Cardinals with the deep ball and made some incredible plays throughout the night. And if you break down the three picks he threw, two of them came by defenders who had to cover a ton of ground and no quarterback would have anticipated them to even be a factor, while on that third one D.K. slowed down for a back-shoulder throw The Seahawks put 35 points on the Patriots, 31 against the Dolphins number-one scoring defense and just now 37 against San Francisco – and it could easily been more if the came wasn’t completely out of hand in the fourth quarter.

2. Patrick Mahomes
I know Mahomes has five TD passes less than Russ despite having played one more game, but he also only has one interception on the year – and that one came when he pushed it downfield on a 4th & long towards the end of the Chiefs’ only loss on the season. He is also behind only Wilson in quarterback rating (115.0) and first in QBR (86.8), with the latter thanks to what he has done taking off when nothing is there, which he has really gotten great at once he sees 2-man or other favorable situations. Of the 34 times he has taken off, nine have resulted in first downs and he finished in the end-zone twice. Of course this is still about Mahomes and Kansas City trashing opposing teams with all those weapons in the passing game. With defenses playing a lot more soft coverage against the Chiefs, Mahomes has taken advantage underneath with those short completions, while still finding ways to allow his receivers to uncover on secondary routes and getting the ball to them from all different angles. So his intended air yards may not be overly impressive, because of all the screens and stuff they draw up, and he might “only” be sixth in yards per attempt, but Pat is still tied for first with 31 passes of 20+ yards. He absolutely picked apart the Ravens defense in that huge Monday Night showdown, which tried every coverage and blitz package imaginable and the quarterback had an answer for all of them, completing some throws nobody in the league could make. The Chiefs’ season-low in points (23) came at the Chargers, when he certainly didn’t start out great, but still found a way to lead a comeback and win in overtime. And even in their only loss of the season against the Raiders, it was the opposing offense converting a sneak on fourth down, that denied Mahomes a chance to finish their late push.

3. Aaron Rodgers
When you look at Rodgers’ most impressive statistic for his career it is his ridiculous touchdown-to-interception ratio of 4.47, which is a full point better than the next-closest guy (Russell Wilson) and twice as good as anybody that hasn’t played in the 2010’s. Well, right now he has the second-best rate for this season, behind only Patrick Mahomes at 20-2, and those two picks came in his only bad game at Tampa Bay. I’m not going to sugercoat this in any way – after going up 10-0 and once that pass-rush from the Bucs was unleashed, he could not get anything going. With that being said, he has been phenomenal in the six other contests, having throw less than 3 TDs in only of them and his lowest QB rating being at 107.6, with both of those thing coming against Detroit in week two, when the Packers just didn’t need him to crazy and still put up 42 points, as Aaron Jones got loose on multiple occasions. And Rodgers had not fumbled until that very last play we saw from him, as he was stripped from behind while trying to launch a Hail Mary at the end of the Vikings game. By the way, he was incredible in that loss as well, as the only two times the offense was stopped, Equanimeous St. Brown had consecutive passes go off his hands and then the refs for no apparent reason picked up the flag on a blatant pass interference against Robert Tonyan inside the red-zone. Rodgers leads the league with seven completions of 40+ yards and right now Drew Lock is the only starter in the league with a higher mark in yards beyond the sticks (0.9) – which when you look at the rest of the numbers isn’t always an endorsement for the second-year QB, as Lock has three more INTs on 100 less attempts. And outside of Davante Adams – who has missed some time – Rodgers hasn’t really been able to rely on any of his receivers, as they are tied for the most passes dropped at 18, even though the other two QBs with that number have played one more game than Green Bay.

Notables: Josh Allen & Tom Brady

Offensive Player of the Year:


Of course, you could name the same three candidates from the MVP section here, but I tried to mix things up a little and give you three other names worthy of the award. And that includes only one quarterback.

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1. Alvin Kamara
I know that this award is often given to quarterbacks as well and it looks odd that Kamara is 16th in the league in rushing (431 yards), but he is averaging five yards per carry and he is also second to only DeAndre Hopkins among all players with 55 catches for an additional 556 yards through the air – so just over 10 yards per grab. Right now he is on pace for 2256 scrimmage yards on right around 20 touches a week, while he would also easily break the NFL record for receiving yards for a running back (1271 over 1191 from Charley Taylor in 1966). And he leads the league not only in scrimmage yards but also percentage of his offense’s yardage (36.5%), while being tied for first with 12 plays of 20+ yards on the season. While he has caught a couple of key wheel routes and can win as a downfield receiver, so far 94.5(!) percent of his receiving yards have come after the catch, constantly bailing out his quarterback by making something happen after checkdowns and ripping off big gains in the screen game. I mean against the Packers he caught 13 of 14 targets for 139 yards and he was the only reason they were in that game in the first place. The explosiveness, the contact balance and the ability get six or seven yards when there should be only three is unmatched. Kamara has scored reached the end-zone seven times and his only fumble, he recovered himself again. He is by far the best player on this Saints offense and the team overall and in the absence of Michael Thomas, he has been asked to shoulder the load for them. Since his lowest output in the season-opener, Kamara has not been held under 119 scrimmage yards in any other week.

2. Kyler Murray
While Murray is only 16th among current starters in passing yards per game, only Russell Wilson and by about half a yard Justin Herbert have put up more combined passing and rushing yards at 326.3 a week. Right now, only Joe Burrow and Matt Ryan have been responsible for more combined first downs and touchdowns, and those two have played a full matchup more than the Cardinals and both just won their second games of the season, while Kyler is doing it in service of a 5-2 team, which outside of his own production has averaged less than 100 rushing yards on a weekly basis. As a runner, he leads all NFL players (with double-digit carries) in yards per attempt at 6.7 and 35 of his 65 carries led to first downs or touchdowns (seven TDs). I would not call Arizona’s passing game overly explosive, as Kyler is barely in the top 20 in yards per attempt (7.3), 20+ yard throws (21) and average yards to the sticks (-0.9), but a lot of that has to do with what Kliff Kingsbury wants to do with his Air Raid-based offense, while his QB is tied for second with six throws of 40+ yards and already has an 80-yarder on his resume. Plus, with that guy at the helm, they have the potential to get as hot as pretty much any team out there. Kyler had one really bad game against the Lions, in which Detroit used a lot of different coverages that had them all over the Cardinals route patterns, but #1 has been outstanding the rest of the year and I don’t come away from a lot of games thinking that a lot of his production was served up by the play-calling. I said a couple of weeks that Deshaun Watson is the most elusive quarterback in the league, but nobody is quicker at evading defenders and keeping himself upright. We all love Russell Wilson and his ability to extend plays, but just compare these numbers – Russ has been pressured 79 times and he’s been hit or sacked on 50 of those, Kyler on the other has been pressured 44 times (significantly less due to more of a horizontal passing attack), but he’s only been sacked nine times and taken five more hits (14 total). And Kyler already outdueled Russ on Sunday Night of week seven.

3. Derrick Henry
King Henry is once again holding the crown for the league’s rushing leader at this moment. His 775 rushing yards are 123 more than any other player in the league, and while that is in correlation with handling the most carries of all RBs, he still averaging 4.8 yards per attempt, despite being asked to grind away games for the Titans. Right around 30 percent of his touches has resulted in a first down or touchdown (43 total first downs and eight TDs) and about 58 percent of his total yardage has come after contact. Nobody wants to tackle King Henry, because he can plow through 300-pounder defensive linemen at the point of attack and throw DBs around like ragdolls, when he gets around the edge (looking at you, Josh Norman), but at the same time, once he gets rolling, he is as fast as any player on the field, which we saw already when he ripped of an NFL-long 94-yarder against the Texans a couple of weeks ago. The difference between Henry and some of the other franchise backs is that he doesn’t contribute a whole lot in the passing game outside of a few screens (10 catches for 81 yards), but nobody takes on a bigger load than this guy and he really sets the table for everything the Titans do, with the heavy play-action and bootlegs. Usually this guy really starts rolling over the second half of the season, but he has been dominant right from the start this year. When you look at the three games Henry didn’t put 112+ yards on the ground, in two of them the opposing defense totally sold out against the run and Ryan Tannehill completed 75 percent of his passes with seven TDs and no picks, while the team scored 33 and 42 points respectively, and the other one came against the Steelers’ dominant defensive front. On the other hand, he also has the most scrimmage yards in a game all season, when he destroyed the Texans for 264 yards and took over that one overtime drive, to win it.

Notables: The three MVP candidates

Defensive Player of the Year:


I think there is pretty clear top three in this one as well and I can honestly see an argument for each one of them to be the pick, but I have stuck my selection (and bet) of a guy I believed would come back even hungrier in 2020.

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1. Myles Garrett
This was my preseason pick for Defensive Player of the Year and similar to Russell Wilson’s MVP campaign, I have been riding this all season long. Myles Garrett is tied for a league-high nine sacks and only two players have hit the opposing quarterback more overall than him. The only two games he didn’t record a sack (the season-opener at Baltimore and this past week against the Raiders), the opposing team ran the ball on 56 and 65 percent respectively and somehow all those sacks he has put up have come in big moments – a strip on Joe Burrow to set up the offense at the Bengals 1-yard line after they were just stopped on fourth down in an eight-point game, another against Washington after the Browns finally extended the lead to more than one score, stripping Dak Prescott when the game was tied at 14 and set off a 27-0 run, setting the offense up in field goal range for their first points in the rematch with Cincinnati and while it won’t be found on the stats sheet, he also directly forced a safety on a throw-away by Philip Rivers to make it a two-score game against the Colts. The only other player that has forced four fumbles just like Myles is Ravens DB Marlon Humphrey, who has become a Peanut Punch specialist – and Garrett has also recovered a couple of those himself, with both of them directly setting up touchdown for the offense from short distance. Plus, he is excellent run-defender, who can yank blockers to the side and makes tackles around the line scrimmage, with only one miss on the season. Myles has grown so much with his technique as a pass-rusher, while obviously having that incredible combination of length and athleticism, but also might have gotten “looser” in his movement and how he can torque his body different ways. And the Browns are now using him as a mismatch against guards on passing downs quite a bit.

2. Aaron Donald
Just like he has been the last five years or so, Aaron Donald is right up there with the favorite for Defensive Player of the Year and I would not be surprised at all if he won his third trophy at the end of the season. Donald is tied with Myles Garrett for the league-lead in sacks at nine and he is top five in total pressures (22) and QB hits (13), despite offensive lines sliding his way constantly. We have literally seen this man get triple-teamed and lift All-Pro offensive linemen off their feet, but only T.J. Watt has a higher pass-rush win percentage according to Pro Football Focus (25%). This guy is the only player with a four-sack performance this season and not only does he obviously contribute in a major way himself, but because of the way he gives his teammates one-on-one’s consistently, his Rams only have three other teams in front of them in terms of sacks as unit (26), despite not having a lot of names that you would recognize, outside a questionable former first-rounder in Leonard Floyd. And I just mentioned the only two players with more forced fumbles than Donald (Garrett and Humphrey), who has three himself. He has also recorded seven tackles for loss and only missed one of his 26 tackling attempts. The crazy part with his game is that for all the numbers you can actually see, there’s about twice as many plays he makes that don’t show up anywhere in the records. The only reason I don’t have him at number one is that he has four games without a full sack and that Garrett has been a little more consistent at coming up with those real game-changing plays. Still, AD is clearly right up there.

3. T.J. Watt
And then this guy is as complete an edge defender as we have in the league. Watt can set the edge at the point of attack, he can chase ball-carriers down from behind as the unblocked man at the line and this past Sunday against Baltimore, we saw him take both guys at times on those read-option plays. Of his 25 tackles on the season, 12 have resulted in lost yardage, which is tied with teammate Vince Williams for a league-high. As a pass-rusher, Watt is “only” tied for fourth with 6.5 sacks, but his 21 hits on opposing QBs is four more than any other player in the league and the 27 total pressure are three more than the next-closest guy as well, while PFF has him tagged with the highest pass-rush win rate in correlation with that (27%). And he headlines the most destructive pass-rush in the league, as the Steelers defense leads the league with 30 sacks and easily has the highest pressure percentage of any unit out there at a whopping 35.0 percent. Watt has also batted down three passes and picked one off. He can do your classic flat drops or carry guys out of the backfield at times, but he can also stand up and move around the line to blitz from different angles or act as a spy at times. He surprisingly has yet to force a fumble this season, but I can remember right now on the very first play he was on the field against the Titans, a good 20 quarterbacks would have lost the ball in that moment with Watt swiping at it, and since he led the league in that category last season, I have no doubt he will rack up a few of those FFs still.


Offensive Rookie of the Year:

This award has two quarterbacks battling it out at the top right now, with one young star receivers and a couple of running backs – one picked in the first round and the other going undrafted – who are also in the running.

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1. Justin Herbert
I get that coaches always try to protect their young quarterbacks and want to give them time to learn from the sidelines, but I hope everybody gets that Herbert and Tyrod Taylor aren’t even close to each other. And I have always liked Tyrod as a bridge-starter or game-manager type, but this rookie QB has taken this offense to a completely different level. When you just look at the schedule, you see that the two QBs have the same amount of wins on the season (only one for Herbert against the Jaguars), but in the season-opener the Chargers only put up 16 points against the Bengals, who have given up 28.2 per week from that point on, and L.A. has scored 27.2 points a game since then. It is not Herbert’s fault that his defense has let him down in the second half of games and allowed big comebacks. He took Patrick Mahomes & company to overtime, had his team up 24-7 against the Bucs before a fumble a minute until halftime started turning things around, he outplayed Drew Brees at the Superdome and was inches away in overtime from pulling off a game-tying or -winning drives and before the Bolts defense allowed an epic collapse last Sunday, they were dominating the Broncos 24-3 midway through the third quarter. The way Herbert has opened up the offense with the deep ball is incredible, with two 70+ TDs on the resume already, and he makes the whole field available, after they were very limited before. Among current starters, Herbert is third in passing yards per game (303.3) and second in combined touchdowns per game (3.0), while also being top ten in completion percentage, yards per attempt, quarterback rating and QBR. He is on pace to throw for 4550 yards and 38 touchdowns to go with about 350 rushing yards and five more TDs on the ground, over the course of a 15-game season. Those numbers would shatter all rookie records.

2. Joe Burrow
No other team has thrown the ball more than the Bengals (330 pass attempts) and their quarterback leads the league with 221 completions on the season (67% completion percentage). With 11 touchdowns compared to five interceptions, that ratio doesn’t look overly impressive, but he has set up a lot of short rushing TDs, while Cincinnati barely cracks 100 rushing yards per game as a team and only one other squad averages less yards per carry (3.7). Until this past weekend, Burrow was tied with Carson Wentz for the most-sacked quarterbacks in the league, but thanks to a non-existent pass-rush for the Titans, in large part due to the spread-based passing attack the Bengals bring to the table, a clean week has the Bengals QB at “only” 28 sacks so far. However, he has been under the fire all season long, being tied for third with 79 total pressures, despite only eight quarterbacks spending less time in the pocket. And Burrow has yet to complete less than 60 percent of his passes in any game. I know the Bengals were blown out in that one Ravens game, but do we realize that was their only loss by more than one score? They tied the Eagles in a game where Burrow was sacked eight times and hit every other snap, they scored 30+ in their two matchups with the Browns, they were up 21-0 against the Colts in the second quarter and just this past Sunday they beat the recently 5-1 Titans by double-digits. And I would argue their rookie quarterback is by far the biggest reason for it. They are already guaranteed a better record this year than last season, as we are halfway through the season – and they are getting better every week. This guy is the future in Cincinnati. Now they just need to protect him and get that defense going.

3. Justin Jefferson
I know that Odell Beckham Jr. was the only wide receiver to be named Offensive Rookie of the Year in the last ten years and I wouldn’t put anybody on the same level as that historic season, but since then this is the most impressive start we have seen for a rookie receiver. Through seven games, Jefferson has caught 31 of his 40 targets for 563 yards and three touchdowns. That puts him 12th among all receivers in yards per game, while having recorded a league-high 14.1 yards per target and 22 of his 31 grabs has resulted in a fresh set of downs. After a rather slow start, with five catches for 70 yards through the first two weeks, Jefferson came onto the scene with 71-yarder against the Titans and now already has three games of 100+ receiving yards, while only having played 74 percent of the snaps on the season. Jefferson has only dropped one pass and not fumbled once, while Kirk Cousins when targeting the rookie receiver, has a passer rating of over 100 despite having thrown four picks and I wouldn’t put a single one of those on the receiver definitely, as on a couple of them there was a linebacker dropping underneath a deep crosser that Cousins stared down the whole way, a badly underthrown pass into a tight window and on another one he and the rookie wideout clearly weren’t on the same page in terms of the route he was supposed to run. Through eight weeks, Jefferson is Pro Football Focus has the second-highest grade among all NFL receivers. I have always been a fan of Adam Thielen and he is Cousins’ favorite target, but to determine who opposing teams believe is more dangerous, all I have to do is watch the Packers put Jaire Alexander on the first-year man for almost the whole game last week.

Notables: James Robinson & Clyde Edwards-Helaire


Defensive Rookie of the Year:


For the defensive side of the ball, this rookie selection was a little tougher, because there are a few guys that have filled the stat sheet across the board, but you don’t have those typical front-runners with a lot of sacks or interceptions, which usually take home the honors.

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1. Antoine Winfield Jr.
When I look at who I believe is the best pro player among all defensive rookies already, I would say this is the name that comes to mind. Tampa Bay’s defensive scheme isn’t simple. They ran a lot of different coverages, they can blitz anybody and there are a lot of rules that you have to understand as a member of that unit. Winfield has come in and looked him he belonged from the first time he touched the field. The rookie safety has played 515 of 522 snaps on defense and he shows up quite a bit in the box score. He has recorded 31 solo tackles and only two misses all season long, showing off what a dependable tackler he is in space. He has intercepted a passe and broken up four more, plus he has forced fumble. And call it P.I. or not, he denied a two-point conversion to potentially tie the game this past Monday Night against the Giants. To go with that, he has asked to blitz 29 times in Todd Bowles’ pressure-heavy scheme, resulting in two sacks and three extra hits on the quarterbacks. What made me a big fan of Winfield coming out of Minnesota was the versatility he presents and the fact he played so much bigger than his size would indicate. The Bucs coaching staff has utilized a lot around the line of scrimmage a lot and I love how he drives on routes in quarters coverage. He gas been “credited” with giving up just over 200 yards and two touchdowns, to go with a passer rating of 114.4 in coverage, but I think about half of that production came on two plays in the Chargers game, once with him ending up as the closest defender on a deep bomb, when the other safety should have actually opened up and then on a scramble drill play, where Keenan Allen uncovered late against him.

2. Patrick Queen
Baltimore has a rich tradition of middle linebackers, but not so much when it comes to LSU players, with Ozzie Newsome as an Alabama alumn not having drafted a single Tigers player in over 20 years as the Ravens GM. This year, with Eric DeCosta calling the shots, they wanted to bring in a dynamic player to put in the middle of their defense and when Patrick Queen surprisingly was still on the board when they were making their first-round pick this past April, it didn’t matter which college he came from. Queen was immediately put in the starting lineup and he has been filling up the stat sheet from the start. In seven games, he has recorded 48 combined tackles, four of them for loss, two sacks to go with five more QB hits, two fumbles forced and recovered, including a long scoop-and-score. His speed at the second level to string guys out to the sideline or get to the quarterback on delayed blitzes has been a big reason this defense has gone to a higher level in 2020. Of course, he is still a first-year player and not perfect. Queen has already missed 11 tackles and there have been some moments where the rookie seemed a little confused. Two that come to mind right away – the Chiefs running that double-swing fake before throwing the TE screen over the middle, where they had Queen’s head spinning and then last week against the Steelers, where I’m pretty sure he should have covered tight-end Eric Ebron in man, but thought he had the back and that allowed Ebron to easily score on a shallow crosser from 18 yards out. He is learning and we have already seen moments, where he just sees it and goes, shutting down plays before they can even get going, while he obviously has a knack for the ball.

3. Jeremy Chinn
One of the small-school prospects I loved in this most recent draft was this 6’3”, 220-pound safety from Southern Illinois, who put up ridiculous numbers at the scouting combine and showed incredible potential on film. So far, he has put up 38 solo tackles – most by any rookie in the league, has intercepted one pass and broken up another five. Chinn has been all over the field, with his ability to cover ground and erase angles for the ball-carrier. One of the two or three negatives I had about him and why I had him around the top 50 and not even higher was the ability to process information post-snap, to not just have his talent take him to the ball, but also the anticipation and identification of certain keys to react quickly. I believe Matt Rhule, defensive coordinator Phil Snow and that entire staff has done an outstanding job of simplifying Chinn’s assignments and just letting him around and make plays. Once he sees something happening in front of him, he can get there as fast as pretty much any player in the league and the Panthers have allowed that talent to flourish. The biggest issue for him are the ten missed tackles so far, but he’ll clean that up as well. Through eight weeks, Chinn has played 96 percent of the defensive snaps and been a fixture on the punt team as well, where he had a huge first-down run against the Falcons in last week’s Thursday Night game on a fake. As he gets more comfortable in the system, I expect him to become a bigger part of the pass-rush, because his closing speed as a blitzer is just absurd.

Notables: Jaylon Johnson & Julian Blackmon

Comeback Player of the Year:


As I say every year when making my preseason picks, this is the most vague award of the list, because there are so many different ways you can look at it – players who were hurt for most/all of last season, guys who had a few off-years and then those who were out of the league altogether.

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1. Ben Roethlisberger
Roethlisberger is completing 67.9 percent of his passes and while he is only 25th in passing yards per game (232.6), a lot of that has to do with being part of a 7-0 team with the best defense in the league and trying to run down the clock late in games a lot of times. Big Ben has been really steady for Pittsburgh, not having completed less than 63 percent of his passes yet for a total of 15 touchdowns compared to only four interceptions, with five games that didn’t include any turnovers from him. Of those four picks, one came on a wobbling 50-50 pass, where Juju immediately called for pass interference, one came in the end-zone on the final play before halftime and another was batted up by a defensive lineman right into the hands of a linebacker. The Steelers are tied for third with converting 49.5 percent of their third downs and even though their run game is about average, they control the clock primarily with the short passing game, where their quarterback gets everybody involved. And when his team has needed him most Big Ben has come through, with two go-ahead touchdown drives in fourth quarters and taking over on crucial drives, with no-huddle attacks and almost exclusively going in the shotgun to spread it around. In the battle of unbeatens at Tennessee, the Steelers were up 24-7 at halftime, with Roethlisberger converting all four third downs with nine or more yards to go. This past Sunday in Baltimore in a huge AFC North clash with the Ravens, the Steelers offense could not get anything done for the first half plus, with Lamar Jackson gifting his opponents 14 points directly off turnovers, but when Pittsburgh needed to a couple of touchdowns to go ahead, their quarterback came through, as they threw the ball on 15 of those 18 plays and the three runs resulted in -1 yard (+ a touchdown). To do this after a season-ending elbow injury on his throwing arm last year is impressive.

2. Jason Verrett
For this one we have to go all the way back to like 2015 and even before that. Jason Verrett was a first-team All-American selection in 2013 and then a first-round pick for the Chargers coming out of TCU. After showing a ton of potential in an injury-riddled rookie campaign, he became a Pro Bowler in his second season with three interceptions and 12 more passes deflected, including a pick-six. The next two years, he only played a combined five games with consecutive ACL injuries and then missed all of 2018 with a torn Achilles. His bad injury luck would follow him to San Francisco however, as he would go on IR with an ankle injury shortly after signing with the 49ers last year. Now, finally in 2020 he is back on the field and balling out. Verrett had a big interception in the end-zone against the Rams a couple of weeks ago and three PBUs the rest of the season, having started the last six games. However, it is the more advanced stats about what the veteran corner has done in coverage that are really impressive. On 25 targets, he has given up just 123 yards and no touchdowns. Plus, he is a highly dependable tackler, having only missed one attempt all season and holding opposing receivers to just 32 yards after the catch. The 49ers had major issues with their corners for large stretches of the season, as Richard Sherman has been on IR since week one and the with Emmanuel Moseley also missing some time, those other guys on the boundary have gotten roasted in some of their matchups. Not with Verrett. He has easily been a top ten player at his position so far and I don’t know how you can take him out of the starting lineup, once they have Sherm and Moseley back together.

3. Aldon Smith
I thought long and hard about putting Rob Gronkowski here, because after Gronk look like his feet were stuck in mud early on, he and Tom Brady are not operating at a really high level again, and it almost seems like the big tight-end got his confidence back. However, I decided to go with somebody who was not one but five(!) years out of the league and as we all know, this award is a lot about the stories of these players. When Aldon Smith was drafted in 2011, it was immediately between him and Von Miller as the best young edge rusher in the league, and Smith out-produced the Broncos All-Pro with 14 and 19.5 sacks in his first two years, before he entered a rehabilitation center midway through 2013 season, when he has on path for another one of those years. The two following seasons, he looked like a shell of himself in San Francisco and then Oakland, as his mind clearly wasn’t right, with several off-the-field issues leading two suspensions that cost him the 2016 and ’17 seasons. Now, all the way in 2020, he is back with the Dallas Cowboys and especially early on he looked like a dominant player on the edge. Smith is now at five sacks on the season, with three of those coming against the Seahawks, as he was the only defensive player that kept his team in the game, with additional hits on the quarterbacks. To go with that, he has made some nice tackles in the run game, fighting off blocks and getting hands on the ball-carrier. He has cooled off a little bit these last few weeks, but the lack of production is more a product of how bad the Cowboys defense has been as a whole and long much they’ve been on the field. If he was on a team right now, that allowed him to rush in obvious passing situation, he could potentially be in the Defensive Player of the Year conversation.

Notables: Rob Gronkowski & Alex Smith


Play of the Year:


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1. D.K. Metcalf chase-down tackle on Budda Baker after the INT
One of the greatest hustle plays you will ever see and it started a meme fest on the internet.

2. Derrick Henry 94-yard touchdown run vs. Texans
The combination of speed and power is freakish for this dude. He tore Houston a new one.

3. Odell Beckham Jr. going 60 yards on the reverse vs. Cowboys
Of couese bad effort and angles by the Dallas defense, but this looked like Giants Odell.



All-Pro teams:


Since this is not about building a team or anything like that, I just went to the most used personnel sets for either side of the ball – 11 personnel and nickel defense – and filled up those spots with who I believe have been the best players at those positions. So there is differentiating between left and right tackle, 4-3 defensive end and 3-4 were put together as “EDGE” and there are just any two stand-up linebackers inserted.

Offense:


LT David Bakhtiari
LG Quenton Nelson
C Corey Linsley
RG Wyatt Teller
RT Duane Brown
Second team: Laremy Tunsil, Michael Onwenu, Jason Kelce, Gabe Jackson & Ryan Ramczyk

WR DeAndre Hopkins
WR D.K. Metcalf
WR Davante Adams
TE Travis Kelce
Second team: Calvin Ridley, Stefon Diggs, Justin Jefferson & George Kittle

QB Russell Wilson
RB Alvin Kamara
Second team: Patrick Mahomes & Derrick Henry

Defense:


DE Myles Garrett
DT Aaron Donald
DT Chris Jones
DE T.J. Watt
Second team: Khalil Mack, Jeffery Simmons, Cam Heyward & Calais Campbell

LB Fred Warner
LB Lavonte David
Second team: Darius Leonard & K.J. Wright

CB Kyle Fuller
CB Jaire Alexander
NB Marlon Humphrey
Second team: James Bradberry, Jalen Ramsey & Jason Verrett

FS Minkah Fitzpatrick
SS Budda Baker
Second team: Jessie Bates & Antoine Winfield



Coach of the Year in the comments!!

If you enjoyed this content, I would really appreciate if you could visit the original piece - https://halilsrealfootballtalk.com/2020/11/05/nfl-2020-midseason-awards/
Also make sure you check out my detailed recap of the NFL's week eight on Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXx87t1Dcvk
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RELIABILITY AND SECURITY

In terms of reliability, with this being a relatively new site and a lack of feedback we could find in our research means we don’t think we can say anything too conclusive about the general consensus from customers. However, the signs are all looking good.
What we can find is positive and perhaps more important than that is a lack of negative feedback. This is because people – especially when it comes to betting sites – are far quicker to criticise than compliment. When you combine that with our overwhelmingly positive experience with the site, we would say that – while reputation comes with time – ZigZagSport is well on its way in the regard.
We can’t speak for anyone else but we had no issues during our time with ZigZagSport in terms of reliability or security. Everything from banking to customer service was all world-class and if this can be considered a typical experience with the site, then we think we will see that positive reputation become more and more well known as the years roll by.
Moving onto the more practical side of things, ZigZagSport is licensed by Curacao and has an extensive privacy policy ensuring that your data is handled responsibly. They are also RNG certified, so their games are proven fair by an independent body. Finally, they are clearly committed to responsible gaming, providing advice and sources to help those who may need assistance. The only improvement we’d suggest is to make these options available at the deposit stage.

CASINO WELCOME BONUS

We were impressed by the welcome bonus for the sportsbook, and there’s more of the same on the casino side of things. This is a 100% welcome bonus up to €200 but does come with a wagering requirement of 40x. The minimum deposit is €10, which is also the maximum stakes for active bonus wagering per game. Additionally, bets on roulette, card games, baccarat and craps do not count towards the bonus.
The wagering requirement is a jump from what we saw on the sportsbook but that is always the case when comparing casino to sportsbook promotions. All in all, this is a very competitive offer considering what else is out there, if not as impressive as the sportsbook promotions.
>> Grab Free Bets Here <<

ZIGZAGSPORT SUMMARY

There are areas which could be improved at ZigZagSport. However, these are generally either oversights which, although annoying – like a need for a more detailed FAQ section – shouldn’t ruin anyone’s gaming experience. Or they are in an area which will only affect a certain part of their potential user base, like the lack of virtual sports. Of course, if the latter is very important to you, then you should look elsewhere. But for most other people, we think that ZigZagSport has more than enough to justify them as your pick as your preferred bookmaker.
This is simply a case where a site does so many things well that the few areas which could be improved pale in comparison. When you combine this with – what for many people will be – the very compelling classic design, then you might not have a perfect site, but you could have the perfect site for you. If you’re looking for a straightforward but in-depth gaming experience, and aren’t interested in too many bells and whistles, then ZigZagSport makes for an excellent choice.
submitted by freespins1 to u/freespins1 [link] [comments]

A Comprehensive PvP Analysis on the September/October Community Day Candidates

Hello again, fellow travelers! It's me again, that PvP article guy, back with a look at the next round of candidates for the next Community Day, and a look at what they may offer us from a PvP perspective.
A disclaimer: I am examining these strictly from a PvP usability standpoint. I have my own separate opinions on these Pokémon as raid pieces, and which shinies I think are the most gorgeous, but I'm leaving most of that out of this. I am a PvP analyst, so that's what I'll be focusing on here. You can certainly ASK me about PvE and such, but there are other good articles out there already about all that.
So without further ado, let's dive in!

I CAN Believe It's Not Butter(free)

A predictable joke, perhaps, but sometimes you just gotta walk boldly through that wide open door. 😂
Anyway, this one is going to be rather short and brutal beyond that. You might think that with Confusion and a mix of Bug and Psychic charge moves, BUTTERFREE could operate as kind of a budget Venomoth, which has at least had some success in Silph Arena Cups. But... you'd be wrong. Venomoth has the spammy Poison Fang to help nab shields and set up closing damage, while Butterfree is left with the extremely mediocre Signal Beam--it of the only 75 damage for 55 energy--and largely redundant Psychic (the move) at 55 energy for a much better 90 damage, but with a typing that is largely unnecessary with Confusion already dealing so much Psychic (the typing) damage already. Those are its two cheapest moves, which goes to explain why Butterfree hasn't made a name for itself really anywhere in PvP yet.
And HURRICANE as a Community Day move would do nothing to change that. Like, literally nothing. That win/loss list is the same as it was without Hurricane, and consists entirely of Fighters and Haunter (that all hate Confusion) and some Grasses that don't appreciate Bugs in general. For reference, by the way, here's Venomoth. And I really don't think there's much more to say here, is there?
So what's the verdict?
Butterfree is a fan favorite in some circles, but it has no real use in PvE and hasn't in PvP, and won't even with Hurricane. A vote for Butterfree is a vote for the shiny and that's really it. At least it's a decent looking shiny? Keep your vote sheet... Butter-free this weekend. 😏

Running "A Muk"

So Niantic is doubling down on the lack of logic in Muk, a blob without true arms, much less fists, having Thunder Punch, and now they want to give it--and its Alolan cousin--FIRE PUNCH too. That's a weird looking Hitmonchan you got there.... 😄
Normal, KANTO MUK typically uses its current Thunder Punch as one of its main moves, along with Dark Pulse or a big Poison move, either Sludge Wave or the popular trash can of death Gunk Shot. These combinations give it maximum flexability, allowing it to take out (in Great League) Fighters, Fairies, and Grasses with ease, and even several prominent Waters, though it needs a Poison charge move to reliably take out Azumarill (and Shiftry) and gives up Psychics Cresselia and Hypno (and somewhat surprisingly, perhaps, big Grass type threat Meganium) to get there. And that mostly continues in Ultra League as well, where Thunder Punch is again preferred and gets several wins on its own, and combines with Dark Pulse to pick up Dragonite, a Poison charge move to get Machamp and Obstagoon, or either move to beat Shadow Abomasnow and Typhlosion. You even have the option of running DP and Poison together for a little bit of the best of both worlds.
So that's where Muk stands NOW. What does it stand to gain from the potential addition of Fire Punch? After looking everything over, at least in Great League, the answer is "not much". The most natural place to try and slot it in is as a Thunder Punch replacement, which shows a new win over Ferrothorn, but losses now to Lapras and Mantine (as well as far less pressure on Waters and Flyers in general, of course). If you want your Muk to bring pressure to Steels, then sure, Fire Punch can do that. But it seems to me that Thunder Punch is more impactful. You can kinda-sorta even get away with both Punches and beat your Ferrothorns AND Waters of the world, but then you give up any realistic shot at Azumarill, Cresselia, DDeoxys, Hypno, or Scrafty. That seems too big a pill to swallow, but perhaps some teams will make that work for them?
Are things any better in Ultra League? We MIGHT have something here. Fire is a more useful typing in Ultra than it generally is in Great League... or perhaps more accurately, Thunder Punch is generally a little less useful with fewer juicy targets for it. Thus Fire Punch paired with Dark Pulse is slightly better than Thunder Punch, losing Charizard and Poliwrath that Thunder hated on to instead pick up Steel types Melmetal, Escavalier, and Ferrothorn, and holding steady on all other wins that Thunder Punch/Dark Pulse netted in 1v1 shielding. Nice! Fire Punch looks even better with a Poison move like Sludge Wave, for example, gaining that same trio of Steel wins plus Shadow Abomasnow (and beating regular Aboma with about 60 more remaining HP than did Thunder Punch Muk) and holding ALL the same wins as TP/SW. Impressive.
One more thing I know will come up: is Shadow Muk any better? Meh, not really. Comparing that (FP/SW) to non-Shadow Muk with the same set, Shadow Muk uniquely wins Scizor, Sceptile, and Lickilicky... but loses Typhlosion, Dragonite, and that big upset against Melmetal. Doesn't seem worth the tradeoff to me, especially considering the cost of building up a Shadow Muk, but hey... you do you!
Of course, Kanto Muk isn't the only Muk in town, and in fact, often takes a back seat to ALOLAN MUK, especially in Ultra League play. But starting with Great League as our intro, this is about what you expect of A-Muk, running with Snarl and then the Dark Pulse/Sludge Wave combo. And that works well for A-Muk wherever it appears in whatever league. Is there really even ROOM for Fire Punch? Where does it fit? Replace Dark Pulse? I mean, you gain Melmetal, potentially Lapras, and big prize Registeel, but look at what you give up: A-Wak and Drifblim and Cresselia and Mantine and even Froslass... they all flip from wins with Pulse to losses with Punch. No bueno. Do you replace the killing power of Sludge Wave? I mean, you can, and you again get Lapras, Mel, Regi, and now Alolan Raichu for it, but you also drop Mantine, Pelipper, Meganium, Tropius and others, including potential Wigglytuff AND Clefable, which for a Poison type is NOT good. Again, doesn't seem a tradeoff that's worth it except the occasional morale victory over Registeels and such.
Maybe Ultra League is again the place to let Fire Punch do its thing? Or maybe not. I mean, you can't really remove Dark Pulse from the equation... you need it to beat Blastoise, Drifblim, and most importantly, both Giratinas... with Fire Punch instead, you don't get any of those. Similarly, you cannot easily replace the big Poison move and run with the Pulse/Punch combo or you again lose important things, namely Obstagoon and all the major Charmers (Togekiss, Clefable, and even Granbull). The ONLY gain you get with Fire Punch in those two scenarios is... well, opposing Alolan Muks. That's it. And you can help ensure that without dipping into Fire Punch at all if you run Gunk Shot.
Actually... hmmm. Let's pull on that thread for a moment. Because something interesting DOES happen when we combine Gunk Shot with Fire Punch... an eye-catching result, and one that doesn't make sense on the surface. Okay, a new win against Shadow Abomasnow makes sense, but how does Fire Punch gain you new wins against things like Feraligatr and Charizard, as that shows? The answer is actually pretty simple: Fire Punch costs 40 energy and Dark Pulse costs 50, so Fire Punch is much easier to bait with. Of course, there's a decent amount of folly in that argument, since as soon as the opponent realizes what you're up to, they're very unlikely to get baited into shielding their Zard or Gatr or the like. But in the realm of GBL, you're usually only facing each opponent once anyway, so there IS a higher chance of "getting away with it" in each individual match.
One more way you can throw the opponent for a loop... bring Poison Jab into the mix for an Alolan Muk that is sure to baffle the opposition. One of the biggest downsides to dropping Dark Pulse in Ultra League is losing significant ground against the Giratinas, just barely overcoming them and putting both well within the margin for error. This fixes that issue, while still providing enough combined Poison and Fire damage to take out the Charmers and most major Grasses, and being stronger than Snarl/FP/Poison against things you expect to beat with A-Muk, like Cresselia and Gengar, and even Drifblim enters the win column. It's an intriguing move package to be sure, one worth consideration if you REALLY want to mix things up.
I think I still prefer the smooth and familiar Snarl/Dark Pulse/Poison-move-of-choice combo overall, but there is at least something to be said for Fire Punch's speed and higher bait potential and a couple different options for how to work it in if you're just determined to do so.
So what's the verdict?
I kind of baked my thoughts on Fire Punch into what I already wrote, so to quickly summarize:

Charizard Gets Minty Fresh Breath

CHARIZARD may finally find a way to put out the fire in its mouth and get minty cool with DRAGON BREATH. But is that a good thing? Let's see!
Starting in Great League, Charizard is arguably a little underrated already, handling a lot of things... Grasses and Steels and Fighters and Charmers, of course, but also stuff people don't immediately think about like Cresselia, Drifblim, Hypno, and Munchlax too. You can kind of see what moving away from Fire Spin does already if you roll with Legacy Wing Attack instead, losing things that really hate Fire damage like Ferrothorn and Froslass, but potentially outracing things like Defense Deoxys and its Rock Slides now with the extra energy that comes from WA. Overall though, the good old Fire Spin/Dragon Claw/Blast Burn (or Overheat) set is the most steady. So let's see what Dragon Breath does. First note that I ran the sim with Overheat rather than Blast Burn, because Overheat shows wins over Haunter and Abomasnow that Blast Burn sims don't, but note that Zard can win those with JUST Dragon Breath and Dragon Claw, so the second charge move actually may not matter. And it's well worth the reminder that Blast Burn costs 5 less energy than Overheat, and especially in Great League where Charizard is particularly squishy, that little bit of energy can mean the difference between a pretty comfortable victory and a truly shocking defeat. If I were to run Dragon Breath in GL, I would probably try to get Blast Burn on it as well... the overall numbers do not properly reflect things like Haunter and Abomasnow, remember. (But of course, that means burning an Elite TM or waiting around to see if we can get Dragon Breath AND Boat Burn during the December Community Day rehash, so.... 😕) What IS accurate there are the same losses to Drifblim, Ferrothorn, and Froslass that Zard suffers with Wing Attack instead of Fire Spin, and Dragon Breath also loses the DDeoxys win that it gets with Wing Attack, plus can lose to Hypno (with Thunder Punch) and Shadow Machamp with its annoying Rock Slide. Sounds all negative... is there any good news? Well, yes: that Haunter win is not normally achievable with Fire Spin OR Wing Attack, and there are also first-time wins against Umbreon, Zweilous, and even big bad Altaria. Remember that Charizard with Dragon Breath/Claw has a potent full Dragon moveset and high Attack that can help it overcome the lack of STAB, and without the downside of taking super effective damage in return from opposing Dragons. It can wail on them HARD and stand up to the neutral punishment it receives in return, at least long enough to close out the win. As for Umbreon, the cumulative damage of those Dragon Breaths plus a final, killing Blast Burn or Overheat is just too much for even tanky Umbry, and it dies before it can fire off its own match-ending third charge move, which it DOES reach against Fire Spin or Wing Attack Zard. Even without STAB, Dragon Breath drops the opponent's health alarmingly quickly. Overall, I'd say that in Great League, you will usually want an old-fashioned fast move instead, but Dragon Breath gives Zard a nice little niche that it could surely exploit in future Silph Arena formats, if nothing else. It gives it a big leg up over most other Fire types, for instance.... 🔥
Moving on to Ultra League, where Zard has already started making a name for itself, especially in GBL Premier Cup this season. Arguably, in open Ultra League, Charizard as it exists today is already a bit underrated. It torches Steel and Grass and Fairy as it does in Great League, as well as other popular picks like Articuno, Obstagoon, Gengar, Snorlax, Cresselia, and our pal Alolan Muk. Wing Attack is arguably even better, hating hard on Fighters (adding wins over Poliwrath and Shadow Machamp) and winning the mirror against FS Zard straight up, though Gengar and A-Muk become a tougher fight in exchange. And of course, in Premier Cup, Charizard is already a potent and popular pick, as I already discussed in quite some detail in my big meta/budget review for the format a couple weeks back. Zard is already legit in Ultra... does it need (or even want) Dragon Breath at all?
I'm gonna say: yes. DB Zard notably cannot reliably beat Drifblim as Fire Spin can, or Shadow Machamp as Wing Attack can, or Abomasnow as both of those can. But what it DOES do is take out Poliwrath and Typhlosion (which WA can and FS cannot) and provide new wins against Cresselia, Dragonite, Feraligatr, Armored Mewtwo, and yes, Giratina (Origin Forme, at least). In Premier Cup it is not a straight upward trajectory like that, losong Aboma and Shadow Champ Drifblim as mentioned, as well as Toxicroak and Snorlax as both FS and WA can, but it does at least bring in Dragonite and Poliwrath and also the oddly-popular-right-now Slowbro. Admittedly, the new losses seem to outweigh the new wins in Premier, but in open UL? This seems like a clear upgrade overall.
And before I move out of UL, yes, I DID look at Shadow DB Zard, and it just doesn't work as well, though it's noteworthy that you CAN potentially get Altered Giratina now. That alone may make it a nice fit on some teams.
And finally, in Master League, if we're being honest, Charizard struggles, and neither Wing Attack NOR the possible addition of Dragon Breath really help with that. DB doesn't get the Giratinas OR Dragonite, as some glaring examples... Charizard maxing out below 3000 (even below 2900) CP just really hampers it. It DOES have more play in Master League Premier Cup, but Dragon Breath is NOT a big help there. Quite the opposite, in fact. You may want a maxed out Dragon Breath Charizard for raiding--and keep in mind that Mega Charizard X is a Dragon type and on the horizon!--but I don't think you want a Dragon Breath Charizard as it is now in PvP Master League.
So what's the verdict?
I poured my thoughts into the above paragraphs, so to sum up:

Pory-gone

PORYGON-Z--and really the entire Porygon family line--is kind of a bookend to the disappointment that was Butterfree. I mean, even in basically the best possible circumstances--maxed out in Master League Premier Cup--it's bad. Like, horrifically bad, far worse than anything with Lock-On should be. The reason is two-fold:
1.) Currently, three of Porygon-Z's four charge moves cost 80 energy, and the fourth costs 75. It CAN leverage Return (with STAB!) at "only" 70 energy, but that's as low as it can go. Registeel can at least match that with Flash Cannon and its 70 energy, Regice can throw out an Earthquake for only 65, and Regirock can fire off a Stone Edge after only 55 energy. They have some options.
2.) Perhaps an even bigger thing holding P-Z back: a complete lack of bulk. Again looking at fellow Lock-On users the Regis, Regirock and Regice have about the same HP as Porygon-Z but more than double its Defense, and that holds true in all three leagues. Registeel is even tankier than that, again doubling Z's Defense and also outpacing it by about a dozen HP. In Great League, it has exactly the same low Defense as glass cannon personified Haunter, and actually lags behind Gengar in Ultra League and just barely matches it in Master despite being about 400 CP higher when they're both maxed out. It has passable HP, but that Defense is very worrisome and makes it feel much, much glassier than most other Pokémon.
So put all that together and you have a very poor PvP Pokémon that you really can't use at any level right now. What Porygon-Z needs is the Cherrim/Abomasnow treatment. Remember how bad those 'mons were not long ago when they were stuck with moves like Solar Beam and Dazzling Gleam, or Blizzard and Outrage? They both got Weather Ball and have absolutely taken off since. They just needed a spammy/bait move, and now they're thriving.
Porygon-Z desperately needs the same. Unfortunately, despite waiting all week to see if we'd get some hints, we still don't know anything even close to definitive about Tri-Attack's stats. So even though I despise being forced to speculate--I am a cold hard numbers and facts guy, something tangible that I can actually analyze--I really don't have any choice if you're going to get this in time to help inform your voting decision. So we're going to pick some existing moves and sim with those to give us a rough guesstimate of what we may get with Tri-Attack, depending on what Niantic does with it. Here we go....
If Niantic makes new move TRI-ATTACK a clone of other moves--good, viable moves--like (again, just examples for stat guesstimating purposes) Hyper Fang or Last Resort, that won't do. Porygon-Z needs--WE need--something very close to what Aboma and Cherrim got to make Z have any chance at viability. And that means something like Weather Ball/Body Slam, or at least something like Stomp. Even those don't blow your socks off, but you pick up potential wins like Dragonite, Togekiss, and Swampert that you had ZERO shot at before. At least with that, Porygon-Z becomes a halfway decent generalist. It even works alright in open Master League, having paths to victory over stuff like Groudon, Raikou, Zekrom, and others instead of the one single win it gets over Origin Giratina with current moves.
And again, I do NOT want to go too far down this road, since this is pure speculation (and best-case-scenario, hopeful speculation at that), but IF Niantic is about as kind as they could be and gave Tri-Attack Body Slam-esque stats, it makes Porygon-Z at least interesting enough in Ultra League and Great League to not get just laughed out of the room. (Well, honestly it's still pretty poor in GL even with all that. Dang... poor Z!)
Perhaps the last question on your minds (that I can attempt to answer, at least!): what about second breakfast? No wait, that's not right. Uh... what about Shadow Porygon-Z? Yeah, it's no better--and actually worse--in Ultra League. There MAY be a case to be made for it in Master League, where it can pick up big Waters Kyogre, Palkia, and Gyarados and still hold all the wins it got as a non-Shadow, but man, that's awfully expensive for such a flimsy generalist. There are crazier ideas, I suppose. The win/loss line IS suddenly looking pretty juicy if you play your cards right, but it's also fraught with peril as glassy as Z is. Tread lightly if you're considering it and be ready with a quick hook as needed.
So what's the verdict?
There is really, truly no way of knowing at this point. I presented what is probably the absolute best case scenario, and while that COULD make Porygon-Z viable in Ultra and especially Master League, we have no clue if Niantic is going to go that route or make Tri-Attack a move that's, like, 45 energy for 80 damage, which would be a good enough move (and very close to what it is in the MLG) but is just simply NOT what Z needs, and not enough to drag it from its current PvP purgatory. End of the day, though, almost ANY iteration of Tri-Attack would be an improvement, and between that and having a super sweet-looking shiny, I think a vote for Porygon is still a good vote.
So here's your TL;DR:
As always, all of this is just my opinion, based on the numbers and analytics in front of me. It's YOUR vote, so make it count!
Alright, I'll bow out now and let you get back to your day. Thanks for sticking with me through this and other long articles I have written. I appreciate your time and attention, and hope this helps you decide where to cast your vote in a few hours.
For more PvP tidbits, you can find me on Twitter for near-daily PvP analysis nuggets, or Patreon with a tie-in Discord server and a direct line to me. And please, feel free to comment here with your own thoughts or questions and I'll try to get back to you!
Stay safe out there, Pokéfriends. Thanks again for reading, and catch you next time!
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best premier league bets this weekend video

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Best Bets and Predictions Premier League Week 37 - YouTube

Tipster Alex from Need4Tips.com delivers his best bets across this weekend’s Premier League Round 11. Click on the link to read the article: https://www.odds... Tipster Stuart from TipsterHQ.com delivers his best bets across this weekend’s Premier League matches from Week 37.Click on the link to read the article: htt... Tipster Alex from Need4Tips.com delivers his best bets across this weekend’s Premier League Round 7.Click on the link to read the article: https://www.oddsma... Tipster Alex from Need4Tips.com delivers his best bets across this weekend’s Premier League Round 2.Click on the link to read the article: https://www.oddsma... Tipster Alex from Need4Tips.com delivers his best bets across this weekend’s Premier League Round 34.Click on the link to read the article: https://www.oddsm... Tipster Alex from Need4Tips.com delivers his best bets across this weekend’s Premier League Round 9.Click on the link to read the article: https://www.oddsma... Ali Maxwell is joined by Mark O'Haire and Matt Scott to preview Liverpool vs Man Utd, Watford vs Tottenham, Southampton vs Wolves, Arsenal vs Sheff' United &...

best premier league bets this weekend

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