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I don't know if I'll keep doing this but I had a fun time preparing for the game last time doing it and hopefully it helps get people excited for the game this weekend.

Positional Talent Breakdown

This is my opinion on the state of the two rosters and is subject to being wrong. The scoring is 3 for a push, +- 1 for slight dis/advantage, +- 2 for a big dis/advantage. This is assuming that Nick Chubb out, as expected.

Position	Colts	Browns
QB	2	4
WR	1	5
RB	3	3
TE	4	2
Run Blocking	2	4
Pass Blocking	4	2
Pass Rush	2	4
Interior DL	3	3
LB	4	2
CB	2	4
Safeties	2	4
Specialists	4	2
Play Calling	2	4
TOTALS	36	42

Power Rankings

Colts	Browns	Source
14	12	SportingNews
13	14	ProFootballNetwork
10	12	NBC
12	13	MSN
12	11	NFL SpinZone
11	13	Fansided
14	11	Heavy.com
10	15	The Lines
11	15	NFL.com week 4
11.89	12.89	AVERAGES

Betting Odds/Predictions

Source. All of the point spreads were identical, Browns were picked as the better line in 6 out of the 9 sources.
|Colts|Browns|Pick|Source| |-2.5|+2.5|Colts|DraftKings| |-2.5|+2.5|Browns|BetMGM NJ| |-2.5|+2.5|Browns|FanDuel NJ| |-2.5|+2.5|Browns|PointsBet NJ| |-2.5|+2.5|Colts|SugarHouse| |-2.5|+2.5|Browns|Bet365 NJ| |-2.5|+2.5|Colts|UnibetNJ| |-2.5|+2.5|Browns|William Hill NJ| |-2.5|+2.5|63% Browns|Yahoo!|

Strength of Victories / Weakness of Losses

This is a measure of the quality of the wins and losses. The strength of victory is one of the tie breaker metrics, described here (high number is good). Weakness of losses is a similar metric but to describe how bad a loss is (high number is bad). Because we have no common opponents to date, that metric is not included. These numbers are between 0 and 1. Because the Browns only loss was to the 3-1 Ravens, they have a better loss score than we do, who lost to the 1-3 Jags. We have a slightly better Strength of Victory than the Browns.

Metric	Colts	Browns
SoV	0.333	0.273
WoL	0.75	0.25

Team Rankings

Credit to the Yahoo! app for these values.

Metric	Colts	Browns
PPG	25.8	31.0
PPG Rank	18th	4th
Def PPG	14	31.5
Def PPG Rank	1st	28th
Yards/G	365.5	396.0
Yards/G Rank	22nd	14th
Pass Yards/G	250.3	191.5
Pass Yards/G Rank	20th	32nd
Rush Yards/G	115.3	204.5
Rush Yards/G Rank	15th	1st
Sacks	10.0	11.0
Sacks Rank	8th	6th
Interceptions	7	4
Interceptions Rank	1st	4th

History

The series between the Colts and the Cleveland Browns is tied at 17-17-0. However, since the Colts have been in Indianapolis, they lead the series 12-6, including 8 of the last 9. The two teams have met in the playoffs 4 times, with the most recent one coming in 1988 and the other 3 coming in the Baltimore Colts years.

Keys to winning

For the Colts: - Getting pressure on Mayfield (one of the league's worst under pressure in 2019) - Continued improvement in 3rd down, especially in scoring position - Stopping big plays on Defense - Turning field goals into TDs - (edit) Make Mayfield have to try to beat you deep
For the Browns: - Establish the run game against a strong defensive front - Get OBJ going early - Get pressure on Phillip Rivers - Winning field position battle

Fun fact from last game:

For the last 4 elections, when the Colts have beat the Bears, Republicans have won the presidential election that year. When the Bears have beaten the Colts, Democrats have won the presidential election that year. By this B.S. model, Donald trump will re-elected.
Edit: I originally saw this on the bears subreddit. Didn't realize it had been cross posted to ours before posting.

My Prediction

Both teams are coming into this game with a 3 game winning streak. This feels like a must-win game for the Browns because they have to compete with the Steelers and Ravens in the AFC North. I believe that the Browns offense, even without Nick Chubb will be able to get more done against the Colts defense than the Colt's offense can accomplish against the Browns Defense. Kevin Stefanski will be able to will his team to victory and expose some of the weaknesses the Colts have been able to keep hidden so far this season on defense. Sadly, I think the Browns will win this game 31-20, please prove me wrong, Colts.

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